Table 2 Scoring for the ‘Level of Precision’ with which climate change-related health risks for the Netherlands can be assessed
Health effect | Level of Precisiona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frequency/scoreb | Medianc | Inter quartilec | ||||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |||
Temperature | ||||||||
1. Heat-related mortality | 9 (2) | 3 (1) | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | |||
2. Heat-related cardiovascular problems | ½ | 9½ (2) | 3 | 1 (1) | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | |
3. Heat-related respiratory problems | 11 (2) | 3 | 2 (1) | 3 | 3-4 | |||
4. Heat-related stress and sleep disturbance | 1 (1) | 8 (2) | 5 | 3 | 3-4 | |||
5. Cold-related mortality | 3 (1) | 2 | 7 (1) | 2 (1) | 1 | 4 | 3-4 | |
6. Cold-related diseases | 1 (1) | 2 | 7 (1) | 3 | 2 (1) | 3 | 3-4 | |
7. Drought-related exposure to contaminants | 5 (1) | 6 (1) | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | |||
8. Shortages of drinking water | 3 (1) | 3 | 5 (1) | 1 | 3½ | 2¼-4 | ||
9. Dehydration | 5 (1) | 5 (1) | 3 | 1 (1) | 3 | 2-4 | ||
Allergies | ||||||||
10. Asthma | 1 | 4 | 7 (4) | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | ||
11. Allergic eczema | 1 | 5 (1) | 3 (1) | 2 | 2-3 | |||
12. Hay fever: duration of pollen season | 10 (4) | 2 (1) | 3 | 3 | 3-3½ | |||
13. Hay fever: pollen types, abundance and allergenicity | 1 | 10 (5) | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | ||
Pests | ||||||||
14. Wasps | 1 | 3 (1) | 2 (1) | 1 | 1 | 2½ | 2-3 | |
15. Oak processionary caterpillar | 1 | 8 (2) | 2 | 4 | 4 | |||
Vector-borne diseases | ||||||||
16. Native vector-borne diseases | 7 (3) | 4 (1) | 5 (1) | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | ||
17. Incidents of non-native vector-borne diseases | 1¼ (¼) | 5¼ (2¼) | 5¼ (2¼) | 4¼ (¼) | 3 | 2-3 | ||
18. Epidemics of non-native vector-borne diseases | 1¼ (¼) | 6¾ (2¼) | 4¾ (1¼) | 2¼ (¼) | 2½ | 2-3 | ||
Food/water-borne diseases | ||||||||
19. Food poisoning | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 (1) | 3 | 3-4 | ||
20. Legionnaires Disease | 2 | 7 | 2 (1) | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | ||
21. Contamination of swimming/recreation water | 4 | 7 (1) | 1 | 4 | 3-4 | |||
Air quality-related | ||||||||
22. Respiratory problems due to ground-level O3 | 1½ | 4½ | 4 (2) | 2 (1) | 4 | 3-4 | ||
23. Respiratory problems due to PM | 1½ | 3½ | 3 (2) | 2 (1) | 4 | 3-4 | ||
24. Air quality-related cardiovascular problems | 2 | 3 | 3 (2) | 2 (1) | 4 | 3-4 | ||
Flooding/storm | ||||||||
25. Flood-related mortality | 4 | 2 | 2½ (½) | 3½ (1½) | 4 | 2¼-4 | ||
26. Flood-related infectious diseases | 5 (1) | 5 (1) | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | |||
27. Flood-related exposure to dangerous substances and contaminants | 1 | 5 (2) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | ||
28. Flood-related respiratory problems | 1 | 3 | 5 (1) | 1 (1) | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | |
29. Flood-related mental health problems | 2 | 7 (2) | 1 | 3 | 3 | |||
30. Storm-related mortality and injury | 3 | 3 (2) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | ||
UV-related | ||||||||
31. Cataract | 1 (1) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 (2) | 3½ | 2-5 | |
32. Skin cancer | 1 (1) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 (2) | 4 | 2-5 | |
33. Weakening of the immune system | 2 (1) | 3 | 1 | 2 (1) | 1 (1) | 2½ | 1¾-4 | |