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Table 3 Time trends in mortality rates in the population of Ozyorsk city (Russian Federation), 1973–2010

From: Mortality of populations potentially exposed to ionising radiation, 1953–2010, in the closed city of Ozyorsk, Southern Urals: a descriptive study

  

Men

Women

3-Plants workers (352,922 person - years)

Other residents (660,119 person-years)

3-Plants workers (136,804 person-years)

Other residents (1,034,763 person - years)

Cause of death

ICD-9 codes

ASR

APC

95 % CI

ASR

APC

95 % CI

ASR

APC

95 % CI

ASR

APC

95 % CI

All

001–999

1214

1.0

(0.0, 2.0)

1563

1.1

(−0.3, 2.5)

491

−0.5

(−1.9, 0.9)

603

0.1

(−0.8, 0.9)

All cancers

140–209

316

−1.2

(−2.3, −0.1)

348

−1.0

(−2.4, 0.4)

163

0.2

(−1.6, 2.2)

166

−0.4

(−0.9, 0.0)

Lip, oral cavity, pharynx c.

140–149

9

NA

 

16

1.2

(−0.7, 3.1)

2

NA

 

2

NA

 

Digestive organs and peritoneum c.

150–159

118

−1.3

(−2.4, −0.2)

139

−1.2

(−2.7, 0.4)

66

−0.9

(−3.2, 1.5)

69

−1.6

(−2.6, −0.7)

Stomach cancer

151

46

−2.2

(−4.1, −0.2)

55

−2.9

(−4.4, −1.2)

21

−2.2

(−7.2, 3.2)

24

−2.9

(−4.3, −1.5)

Rectum cancer

154

21

−0.6

(−2.6, 1.5)

20

0.8

(−3.0, 4.8)

9

NA

 

9

−1.5

(−3.7, 0.8)

Liver cancer

155

7

NA

 

14

−5.7

(−10.7, −0.3)

8

−3.3

(−8.0, 1.6)

4

−3.7

(−7.4, 0.1)

Pancreas cancer

157

17

0.4

(−3.0, 3.9)

14

1.7

(−1.4, 5.0)

3

NA

 

9

0.1

(−1.8, 2.1)

Respiratory and intrathoracic c.

160–165

116

−2.4

(−4.2, −0.6)

119

−2.1

(−3.3, −0.8)

18

−2.1

(−7.2, 3.4)

10

−0.4

(−3.3, 2.6)

Larynx cancer

161

8

3.2

(−1.9, 8.4)

9

NA

 

2

NA

 

0

NA

 

Lung cancer

162

104

−2.8

(−4.5, −1.1)

107

−2.7

(−3.7, −1.7)

15

−1.1

(−6.3, 4.4)

10

−0.5

(−3.7, 2.9)

Bone, connective tissues, skin, breast c.

170–175

8

NA

 

7

2.1

(−2.6, 7.1)

27

3.2

(−0.3, 6.9)

33

1.4

(0.8, 1.9)

Female breast cancer

174

NA

  

NA+

NA

 

21

2.2

(−1.3, 5.9)

29

1.6

(0.8, 2.5)

Genitourinary organs c.

179–189

33

−0.5

(−2.9, 2.0)

32

0.2

(−2.0, 2.5)

26

2.8

(−0.3, 6.0)

32

−0.6

(−1.7, 0.6)

Other and unspecified c.

190–199

15

4.5

(1.5, 7.5)

14

0.6

(−1.2, 2.4)

5

NA

 

10

1.4

(−1.5, 4.5)

Haematological malignancies

200–208

16

−2.6

(−6.7, 1.7)

20

0.1

(−2.9, 3.1)

19

NA

 

9

0.4

(−2.4, 3.2)

Multiple myeloma

203

6

NA

 

7

NA

 

14

NA

 

4

NA

 

Leukemia

204208

4

−3.2

(−9.8, 3.9)

3

1.8

(−2.6, 6.5)

3

NA

 

2

NA

 

Infectious and parasitic diseases

001–139

6

NA

 

11

NA

 

4

NA

 

6

NA

 

Diseases of circulatory system

390–459

507

0.5

(−1.0, 2.1)

668

0.9

(1.0, 2.7)

206

−1.1

(−2.5, 0.4)

268

−0.5

(−1.9, 0.8)

Ischemic heart disease

410414

322

0.4

(−1.1, 2.0)

408

0.9

(−1.0, 2.9)

99

−0.3

(−3.0, 2.6)

107

0.5

(−1.1, 2.1)

Cerebrovascular disease

430438

129

0.7

(−1.1, 2.5)

178

1.3

(−0.9, 3.6)

74

−2.1

(−3.4, −0.7)

108

−0.4

(−2.3, 1.5)

Diseases of respiratory system

460–519

39

−1.0

(−3.8, 1.8)

60

−0.7

(−2.5, 1.2)

14

−2.5

(−7.0, 2.2)

15

−3.1

(−5.5, −0.6)

Diseases of digestive system

520–579

59

5.6a

(3.9, 7.3)

68

2.8

(0.7, 5.0)

21

2.0

(0.5, 3.4)

31

2.1

(0.9, 3.4)

Diseases of genitourinary system

580–629

7

NA

 

11

0.4

(−4.3; 5.4)

6

NA

 

11

−0.3

(−3.7, 3.2)

Injury and poisoning

800–999

189

2.0

(−0.4, 4.5)

278

1.4

(−0.6, 3.5)

41

−1.5

(−4.2, 1.2)

61

0.7

(−1.5, 3.0)

Other causes of death

210–389, 630–799

91

7.4

(2.6, 12.3)

117

8.8

(5.0, 12.7)

36

3.5

(−2.5, 9.8)

47

4.6

(2.1, 7.2)

  1. Legend: Time trends in all cause and cause-specific mortality rates among people aged 18-74 years, workers of the 3 main plant types of Mayak and other Ozyorsk residents (Russian Federation) over period 1973-2010. Abbreviations:  ASR age standardised rate, APC annual percent change, CI confidence interval, c. cancers.
  2. aAPC for period 1983–2010. Between 1973 and 1983, the APC is −5.6 (−19.1, 10.1)
  3. +1 male breast cancer observed